One question, answered weekly: which broker should an underwriter contact, and why. The list re-sorts itself around what just happened at each broker's firm.
Every broker at the appointed firms, scored on fit, timing, access, intent.
A weekday sweep reads the trade press for moments that mean risk is about to move.
A signal at a firm floats its brokers up the list that week.
The agent writes the first email. An underwriter approves it. Nothing goes out unchecked.
Four axes, each worth up to 25, summed in code so the bars always add up to the number. The bars run in this order: fit, timing, access, intent.
Nothing scores hot right now, and that is the honest result: intent sits at zero for every broker because no engagement data feeds it yet. That axis is what Play 3 would unlock.
Two layers, not one: the broker score rates the person, and each signal carries its own quality score (appetite, window, action, sourcing, on the Signals tab). They compose — a broker's Timing axis inherits the freshest firm signal, and the composite of a 90-priority broker on a 40-quality signal ranks below the same broker on a fresh project award. A great contact on a weak signal is not a great call.
| Broker | Actions | ||
|---|---|---|---|
53warm 23 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Regional Construction Practice Leader Regional construction practice leader with email influences multiple offices' submission flow. | USI Insurance Services construction | |
53warm 23 · 15 · 15 · 0 | National Construction Practice Leader National construction practice leader at USI with email is the highest leverage contact in this list. | USI Insurance Services construction | |
53warm 23 · 15 · 15 · 0 | President USI Construction Practice Group President of USI's construction practice group sets market strategy nationally and is reachable by email. | USI Insurance Services construction | |
53warm 23 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Director - Construction Practice Leader Named construction practice leader at Aon is exactly the market-selection decision maker Shepherd wants. | Aon construction | |
53warm 23 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Executive Vice President/NW Region Construction Leader EVP and regional construction leader with email controls both appointments and office submission flow. | USI Insurance Services construction | |
53warm 23 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Senior Vice President Aon - Construction and Infrastructure Aon SVP in construction and infrastructure with email is a senior book owner who can route submissions today. | Aon construction | |
52warm 22 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Senior Vice President - Construction Practice SVP in USI's construction practice with email available is a senior producer who controls market selection. | USI Insurance Services construction | |
52warm 22 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Construction Practice Leader Construction practice leader with email is precisely the person who can open new offices to Shepherd. | USI Insurance Services construction | |
52warm 22 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Senior Vice President Construction Practice Group Senior construction practice group leader with email, high likelihood of directing submissions. | USI Insurance Services construction | |
52warm 22 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Senior Vice President, Construction Services Group SVP in Aon Construction Services Group is senior enough to redirect meaningful submission volume. | Aon construction | |
52warm 22 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Senior Vice President, Construction & Infrastructure SVP in Aon's construction and infrastructure group with email is a senior book owner and prime target. | Aon construction | |
52warm 22 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Vice President of Construction Casualty | Middle Market Producer | Roofing Specialist VP of construction casualty and middle market producer is an exact match for Shepherd's primary and excess casualty appetite. | USI Insurance Services construction | |
51warm 21 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Senior Vice President - Construction SVP Construction with email is a senior book owner and a strong outbound target. | USI Insurance Services construction | |
51warm 21 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Partner & Vice President - Construction Partner and VP status signals a substantial owned construction book with email access. | USI Insurance Services construction | |
51warm 21 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Senior Vice President | Construction & Real Estate Practice SVP spanning construction and real estate should generate frequent casualty and builder's risk submissions. | USI Insurance Services construction | |
51warm 21 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Partner, Vice President | USI Construction Practice USI partner and VP in the construction practice is an owner-level producer with email. | USI Insurance Services construction | |
51warm 21 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Vice President - Constuction VP in USI's construction practice with email is a likely book-owning producer who directs submissions. | USI Insurance Services unknown | |
51warm 21 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Senior Vice President, Account Executive - Construction and Infrastructure Senior AE at Aon construction with email influences market lists even if a broker executes placement. | Aon construction | |
51warm 21 · 15 · 15 · 0 | SVP, Construction & Infrastructure SVP builders risk broker owns placements squarely in Shepherd's builders risk lane. | Aon construction | |
50warm 20 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Vice President, Construction USI construction VP with email should be able to move accounts to a new market. | USI Insurance Services construction | |
50warm 20 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Vice President of Construction Same senior construction VP profile at USI with a workable email. | USI Insurance Services construction | |
50warm 20 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Vice President of Construction VP of Construction at USI with email is a senior producer likely to send primary and excess casualty. | USI Insurance Services construction | |
50warm 20 · 15 · 15 · 0 | Partner l Middle Market -- Construction Partner-level middle market construction producer owns the book and the market decision. | USI Insurance Services construction | |
49warm 24 · 10 · 15 · 0 | EVP - U.S. Construction Practice Leader EVP US construction practice leader can open many Lockton offices at once, the highest-leverage contact here. | Lockton construction | |
49warm 24 · 10 · 15 · 0 | Executive Vice President / Managing Director, Construction Services Group EVP and Managing Director of CSG is exactly the office-level authority that opens wider submission flow. | Alliant Insurance Services construction |
Priority = fit (0 to 100, from Claude) + intent (0 to 40, from firm-level signals in the last 45 days). Names stay masked until Reveal; that is the only action that spends an Apollo credit, capped at 12 a day on this demo.
The signal book is centralized on purpose: one ranked list, argued below, instead of everyone building their own watchers. Each type answers the same five questions, what it predicts, where it comes from, what qualifies, what it activates, and how much to trust it, and one candidate signal is deliberately kept out of outreach entirely.
A named GC or developer just won, financed, or broke ground on a project. Builder's risk and project casualty for it get placed within weeks, by a broker Shepherd can identify from the firm relationships it already maps.
A building permit was filed for a project inside Shepherd's appetite. Earlier in the risk lifecycle than an award, the placement is months out instead of weeks, which makes it the cheapest moment to become the market the broker thinks of first.
A brokerage hired or promoted someone into a construction or energy practice. New practice leaders need markets and want early wins; their first ninety days are the cheapest moment Shepherd will ever have to become one of their go-to markets.
A carrier exited, cut capacity, or tightened terms on construction or energy. Every affected renewal now has a broker actively hunting a replacement market on a deadline, the highest-intent moment that exists in this business.
A contractor adopted Procore, OpenSpace, DroneDeploy, or Samsara. That contractor is now cheaper for Shepherd to write than for any legacy carrier, Shepherd Savings prices on the data, so the next placement for them is winnable on price, not just speed.
Construction casualty or property pricing is shifting in a way that changes broker behavior, hardening means brokers shop alternatives, softening means incumbents get aggressive and Shepherd's speed matters more than its price.
A merger, acquisition, or new office changes who controls placements. Books get re-evaluated in the first months after a deal closes, incumbency resets, and a market that shows up early gets considered.
Brokers gather somewhere at a date. Useful for planning a conference presence or timing a touch, says nothing about any specific placement.
A notable construction loss made the news. Brokers will be asked about it, but the account involved is mid-claim with a broker defending the relationship, there is no placement to win this week.
Litigation says nothing about where risk gets placed next, and any outreach that references it reads as opportunism aimed at a firm Shepherd wants a decades-long relationship with. No activation exists that isn't awkward, so it never enters the sweep.
Tempting because it looks like practice_hire, but the producer in the middle of a non-solicit fight can't move a book, and emailing them mid-lawsuit is the fastest way to be remembered badly. The hire becomes a real signal after the dust settles, when it shows up as an ordinary practice_hire announcement.
The account is mid-claim, the broker is defending the relationship, and there is no placement to win this week. Kept in the classifier as context only (loss_event), it appears in the broker brief so an underwriter walks in informed, and it never fires or aims outreach.
9 signal types, the same list the classifier emits, nothing here is aspirational. Act-tier signals raise a broker's Timing axis and can start a cadence; aim-tier signals change the draft and the queue order; context-tier signals appear in briefs and nowhere else.
The thesis above says which signals and why. This says where each one physically comes from: what the sweep reads today, what full strength looks like, what the upgrade costs, how accurate the data is, and the experiment that has to pass before any of it gets paid for.
Everything above is third-party: the market moved. These are Shepherd's alone: a specific broker moved toward Shepherd, and no competitor can see it happen.
The strongest signal that exists: who submits, what class, how often, and where each broker sits against the 7-plus-a-year pace. Feeds the relationship field and the Access axis.
In the CRM today, wired here the week the CRM connects. The week-one ask.
Replies logged against the broker record feed the Intent axis, weighted by what they were - a reply outweighs an open, an out-of-office keeps its place in the cadence.
Reply logging live now (by hand); automatic once sending runs through the underwriters' mailboxes.
A broker reading a comparison page, or engaging with a clip, is first-party intent Play 3 generates and Play 1 consumes - it raises that broker's priority the week it happens.
Designed and labeled planned: capture needs platform API access and a site pixel Shepherd does not have yet.
Five trade-press feeds, swept weekdays, classified against the signal book, every signal carrying its quality score. Free, live, and the baseline everything else is measured against.
The public layers the sweep does not read yet: AM Best rating actions and state DOI filings for carrier moves, CIAB and broker market reports for rates, vendor customer pages for tech adoption, brokerage press-release pages for hires. Plus the CRM connection, which unlocks every first-party signal at once.
One permit-aggregator trial in one state (Julian's own example signal), then Dodge for project data at full strength. Each paid source enters through the same gate: the free version of the signal has to demonstrate pull-through to a submission conversation first.
The gate between phases is the same each time: a paid source only enters after the free version of its signal demonstrates pull-through to a real submission conversation. Sourcing spend follows evidence, not appetite for data.